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INCIDENCE OF PULMONARY TUBERCULOSIS AND CHANGE IN
BACTERIOLOGICAL STATUS OF CASES AT SHORTER INTERVALS |
GD Gothi, AK Chakraborty, K Parthasarathy & VV
Krishnamurthy: Indian J Med Res 1978, 68, 564-74. |
The incidence rates of sputum positive pulmonary
tuberculosis (cases) from the five year follow ups of a rural population
done by National Tuberculosis Institute were reported on the basis
of studies at intervals of one and a half to two years. Information
on fate of cases was also likewise reported. These parameters appear
to be imprecise since incidence and fate of cases at shorter intervals
were not taken into account. Thus, the information on incidence
of pulmonary tuberculosis in India is meager as compared to that
on prevalence of disease. Therefore, a study mainly to find out
the incidence and fate of cases at shorter intervals of 3-6 months
was undertaken in 87 randomly selected villages of Nelamangala sub-division,
Bangalore district which was one of the 3 sub-divisions where repeated
epidemiological surveys had been conducted between 1961-68. The
sample of villages in the present investigation was other than that
included in the earlier report. Organized Case-finding, anti-tuberculosis
treatment and BCG vaccination neither existed nor could be provided
in the area till the completion of the study. The present study
was conducted between 1968-1972.
This study conducted among 30,576 persons has shown
that incidence of cases over a period of three months was 0.99 per
thousand and was not much different from the annual rate of 1.03
per thousand reported on the basis of repeated surveys at longer
intervals. That the three months rates were not a quarter of the
annual rates meant that the procedure of calculating incidence rates
on the basis of surveys done at varying intervals after adjusting
for the interval had to be used with great caution. The study of
fate of cases showed that cases converted or reverted even at shorter
intervals and this appeared to be going on continually in the community.
However, incidence of cases and cure and death from among the existing
as well as the fresh cases kept on balancing each other so that
the prevalence rates of cases studied at shorter or at longer intervals
did not show variations.
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KEY WORDS: INCIDENCE, FATE, CASE, RURAL POPULATION,
SURVEY, SHORTER INTERVALS |