EPIDEMIOLOGY <<Back
 
 
019
SOME ASPECTS OF CHANGES IN RURAL POPULATION AND FATE OF TB CASES AFTER AN INTERVAL OF TWELVE YEARS
MS Krishnamurthy, KR Rangaswamy, AN Shashidhara & GC Banerjee: NTI Newsletter, 1974, 11, 1-7.

During second epidemiological survey carried out in 1972-73, special efforts were made in 21 of 62 villages belonging to first survey (1961-62) to study the demographic changes and fate of TB cases after an interval of 12 years.

The findings were: The increase of dejure population was about 20% over a period of 12 years i.e., an annual increase of 1.7%. The age structure had altered mainly due to significant increase in the age group 60 years and above – 51% to 64% indicating aging of population. The loss of original population after 12 years was 44%, of which 33% was due to migration and 11% due to death. The overall migration was more among females. The migration rate was higher in younger age group, being highest in 10-19 years (49%), next in 0-9 years (38%). Thus, overall migration in 0-19 years was 43%. The death rate was highest in 60 years and above (58%). It varied from 4-9% in age group 0-39 years. Original population available after 12 years for re-examination was 56%. Distribution in different age groups were; 0-9yr = 57%, 10-19yrs = 47%, 20-49yrs = 66%, 50-59yrs = 44%, 60yrs and more = 28%.

Out of 88 X-ray suspect cases of earlier survey, 87 could be identified and present status of 72 were known. Of them, 16 were normal, 12 and 4 found to be suspect cases and bacillary cases respectively and 40 had died. Of the remaining fifteen, 11 migrated and 4 not examined. Out of 14 bacillary cases, 13 could be identified. Of them, 3 were sputum negatives (2 normal and 1 suspect case) 9 had died and 1 migrated.

KEYWORDS: FATE, CASE, SUSPECT CASE, MORTALITY, MIGRATION, RURAL POPULATION, DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, SURVEY.

041
CHEST DISEASES AND TUBERCULOSIS IN A SLUM COMMUNITY AND PROBLEMS IN ESTIMATING THEIR PREVALENCE
AK Chakraborty, GD Gothi, Benjamin Issac, KR Rangaswamy, MS Krishnamurthy & R Rajalakshmi: Indian J Public Health 1979, 23, 88-99.

The entire population of a slum area of Bangalore city, comprising of 3313 persons was registered, questioned for symptoms and offered chest X-ray at a centre located in the slum itself. Those, who had any chest symptom and/or X-ray abnormality, were offered detailed examinations, viz., clinical examinations, repeated examinations of sputum for tubercle bacilli, and further chest X-rays. Of the total 2855 persons X-rayed and/or questioned, 1039 needed detailed examinations and about a fifth of the latter required referral to a consultant panel for diagnosis of chest diseases. Further, about 60% of those referred to consultants needed special investigations. Thus, the study of prevalence of chest diseases in the community needed considerable facilities and were operationally difficult. It is envisaged that similar problems will also be faced if peripheral dispensaries are to make proper diagnosis of chest diseases, due to the need for referral of large number of patients and provision of complicated diagnostic facilities at the referral hospitals. The study seeks to quantify the problem of chest diseases and tuberculosis in the slum community.

The prevalence of sickness in the population at any point of time were 49.5%. Sickness related to the respiratory system was 13.3%. It increased with age and was highest (42.6%) in those aged 55 years and above. Among 2855 persons X-rayed, 145(5.1%) had any radiological abnormality in chest. It is seen that respiratory systems symptoms were commonest in all the age groups. A total of 172 patients were diagnosed to have respiratory system abnormalities with or without X-ray lesions. Of them, 75% had non- tuberculous etiology, 7.6% had active pulmonary tuberculosis and the remaining 17.4% had inactive tuberculosis. Prevalence of sputum positive cases was 0.26% and prevalence of total active pulmonary tuberculosis was 0.44%. The problem of arriving at final diagnosis was dependent on application of complicated special investigation tools to a large community. In view of the low coverage (47.4%) for the special investigations, prevalence of different chest diseases in the community could not be investigated.

It is concluded that in the community under study, the size of the problem of non- tuberculous diseases of the chest and operational problems in their diagnosis were considerable.

KEY WORDS: PREVALENCE, URBAN, SLUM COMMUNITY, CHEST DISEASES, CASE.

049
TUBERCULOSIS IN A RURAL POPULATION OF SOUTH INDIA: REPORT ON FIVE SURVEYS
AK Chakraborty, Hardan Singh, K Srikantan, KR Rangaswamy, MS Krishnamurthy & JA Steaphen: Indian J TB 1982, 29, 153-67.

The trend of tuberculosis in a sample of 22 villages of Bangalore district observed over a period of about 16 years (1961-77) is reported. Distribution of tuberculin indurations did not show a clear cut demarcation between infected and non-infected. The method adopted to demarcate the cut off point has been described herewith: Distribution of tuberculin induration size of 0-14 years was attempted and extrapolated to higher age groups. Even in these younger age groups the antimodes were not clearly defined, so the antimode was arrived by fitting two normal curves as two likely modes.

The choice of demarcation level, therefore, is somewhat arbitrarily made on the basis of the distributions and these varied from survey to survey; between 10 mm at survey I and 16 mm at survey V. The actual and standardized infection rates showed more or less declining trend in 0-4 years, 5-9 years and 10-14 years age groups. The prevalence of cases was not significantly different from survey to survey (varying from 3.96 to 4.92 per thousand from first to fifth survey). However, there was a shift in the mean age of cases, and better survival rate of cases diagnosed at later surveys.

KEY WORDS: TREND, CASE, INFECTION, PREVALENCE, TUBERCULIN READING METHOD, LONGITUDINAL SURVEY.
 
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