011 |
FATE OF CASES DIAGNOSED IN A SURVEY |
Raj Narain, G Ramanatha Rao, G Chandrasekhar &
Pyare Lal: Proceed Natl TB & Chest Dis Workers Conf,
Calcutta, 1966,72-78. |
The report describes the changes that occurred
during second survey carried out after an interval of one and half
years in the cases diagnosed at the first survey done during 1961-62
from among a total population of about 62,000 in 119 villages in
Bangalore District. It was observed that (1) Of the 62 sputum smear
positive cases also having suggestive chest X-ray shadows, 34% had
died, 35% were sputum positive and 31% had become culture negative
after 1½ years. Of the 10 smear positive cases who were X-ray
normal, non-e was culture positive at the start and 7 were negative
by culture and smear after 1½ years. Of the 67 scanty smear
positive cases (1 to 3 bacilli seen), only 3 were sputum positive,
10 were having X-ray shadows and half were tuberculin negative after
1½ years. (2) Of the 88 culture only positive cases (20 or
more colonies and with X-ray evidence of disease) 31% had died and
47% continued to be sputum positive after 1½ years. A much
smaller proportion of these changes occurred among culture positive
cases with less than 20 colonies. (3) There were 457 persons having
radiologically active tuberculosis on the basis of interpretation
of a single X-ray picture by two independent readers but whose sputum
were negative for AFB (suspect cases). Of these, 38% were tuberculin
negative also. Of those suspect cases who were tuberculin positive,
9% become sputum positive after 1½ years, while only 2% of
the tuberculin negative suspect cases became sputum positive.
It is concluded that there is a lot of variation
in fate among the different categories of cases of pulmonary tuberculosis.
Further, attention has been drawn to the possibility of self healing
in about 30% of the bacillary cases after 1½ years.
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KEY WORDS: FATE, CASE, SUSPECT CASE, NATURAL
CURE, PREVALENCE. |