During second epidemiological survey carried out in 1972-73, special efforts were made in 21 of 62 villages belonging to first survey (1961-62) to study the demographic changes and fate of TB cases after an interval of 12 years.

The findings were: The increase of dejure population was about 20% over a period of 12 years i.e., an annual increase of 1.7%. The age structure had altered mainly due to significant increase in the age group 60 years and above – 51% to 64% indicating aging of population. The loss of original population after 12 years was 44%, of which 33% was due to migration and 11% due to death. The overall migration was more among females. The migration rate was higher in younger age group, being highest in 10-19 years (49%), next in 0-9 years (38%). Thus, overall migration in 0-19 years was 43%. The death rate was highest in 60 years and above (58%). It varied from 4-9% in age group 0-39 years. Original population available after 12 years for re-examination was 56%. Distribution in different age groups were; 0-9yr = 57%, 10-19yrs = 47%, 20-49yrs = 66%, 50-59yrs = 44%, 60yrs and more = 28%.

Out of 88 X-ray suspect cases of earlier survey, 87 could be identified and present status of 72 were known. Of them, 16 were normal, 12 and 4 found to be suspect cases and bacillary cases respectively and 40 had died. Of the remaining fifteen, 11 migrated and 4 not examined. Out of 14 bacillary cases, 13 could be identified. Of them, 3 were sputum negatives (2 normal and 1 suspect case) 9 had died and 1 migrated.

The entire population of a slum area of Bangalore city, comprising of 3313 persons was registered, questioned for symptoms and offered chest X-ray at a centre located in the slum itself. Those, who had any chest symptom and/or X-ray abnormality, were offered detailed examinations, viz., clinical examinations, repeated examinations of sputum for tubercle bacilli, and further chest X-rays. Of the total 2855 persons X-rayed and/or questioned, 1039 needed detailed examinations and about a fifth of the latter required referral to a consultant panel for diagnosis of chest diseases. Further, about 60% of those referred to consultants needed special investigations. Thus, the study of prevalence of chest diseases in the community needed considerable facilities and were operationally difficult. It is envisaged that similar problems will also be faced if peripheral dispensaries are to make proper diagnosis of chest diseases, due to the need for referral of large number of patients and provision of complicated diagnostic facilities at the referral hospitals. The study seeks to quantify the problem of chest diseases and tuberculosis in the slum community.

The prevalence of sickness in the population at any point of time were 49.5%. Sickness related to the respiratory system was 13.3%. It increased with age and was highest (42.6%) in those aged 55 years and above. Among 2855 persons X-rayed, 145(5.1%) had any radiological abnormality in chest. It is seen that respiratory systems symptoms were commonest in all the age groups. A total of 172 patients were diagnosed to have respiratory system abnormalities with or without X-ray lesions. Of them, 75% had non- tuberculous etiology, 7.6% had active pulmonary tuberculosis and the remaining 17.4% had inactive tuberculosis. Prevalence of sputum positive cases was 0.26% and prevalence of total active pulmonary tuberculosis was 0.44%. The problem of arriving at final diagnosis was dependent on application of complicated special investigation tools to a large community. In view of the low coverage (47.4%) for the special investigations, prevalence of different chest diseases in the community could not be investigated.

It is concluded that in the community under study, the size of the problem of non- tuberculous diseases of the chest and operational problems in their diagnosis were considerable.

The trend of tuberculosis in a sample of 22 villages of Bangalore district observed over a period of about 16 years (1961-77) is reported. Distribution of tuberculin indurations did not show a clear cut demarcation between infected and non-infected. The method adopted to demarcate the cut off point has been described herewith: Distribution of tuberculin induration size of 0-14 years was attempted and extrapolated to higher age groups. Even in these younger age groups the antimodes were not clearly defined, so the antimode was arrived by fitting two normal curves as two likely modes.

The choice of demarcation level, therefore, is somewhat arbitrarily made on the basis of the distributions and these varied from survey to survey; between 10 mm at survey I and 16 mm at survey V. The actual and standardized infection rates showed more or less declining trend in 0-4 years, 5-9 years and 10-14 years age groups. The prevalence of cases was not significantly different from survey to survey (varying from 3.96 to 4.92 per thousand from first to fifth survey). However, there was a shift in the mean age of cases, and better survival rate of cases diagnosed at later surveys.

The National Tuberculosis Control Programme is in operation since 1962, and its quantitative achievement is being monitored indirectly through records and reports received from District Tuberculosis Centres. For direct evidence of impact of the programme, tuberculin surveys are useful in reflecting the recent epidemiological situations prevailing in the area. Tuberculosis being a disease of secular nature, a periodic follow up with five years (arbitrary) interval may be preferred over the continuous follow up, for finding the trend of tuberculosis situations in an area.

Keeping in view the importance of tuberculin surveys, National TB Institute (NTI) has evolved a surveillance system which can be adopted by any state in India. The state teams can be trained at NTI in registering population, tuberculin testing & reading, so as to carry out the surveillance in their respective areas. It is essential to create a central organisation for surveillance of tuberculosis using the tuberculin test. The centre would be responsible for technical & administrative support and monitoring. NTI could provide technical expertise in formulating the surveillance system, a training methodology and an in service training to the designated staff.

During a longitudinal survey, carried out in 119 randomly selected villages of Bangalore district for studying the time trend of tuberculosis, the average infectivity of a case over a period of one and a half years was found to be six. In 1986 i.e., 25 years after the start of I survey, 61 persons belonging to one village called Nunnur who were found newly infected between I & II surveys, were interviewed. Further, a general study of the layout of the houses and public facilities in the village was made. However, in Nunnur, there was just a single bacteriological case (index case) identified at the I survey. This index case was resident of household numbered 80 in the main village. This case study investigates the background of the observed high infectivity. The incidence rate of infection in Nunnur was 9.5% in 1½ years which is higher than the overall average rate of 4% as well as rate for 30 other single case villages i.e., 3.5%. The investigation reveals that at least 21 persons., found newly infected at II survey, had varying levels of contact with the index case. The remaining 40 infected persons could not be linked, either directly or indirectly, to any other known bacteriological case including the index case in the village. All the persons identified as infected at II survey were distributed throughout the village, beyond the likely zone of infection of the index case.

A study was conducted in 1983-84 by the National TB Institute (NTI) in the districts of Dharmapuri (Tamil Nadu) & Ananthapur (Andhra Pradesh). Thirteen health personnel were trained in census taking, tuberculin testing & reading and data keeping etc., at the NTI according to the standard methodology. The trainees were repeatedly assessed and only those who achieved a reasonably high inter-reader correlation with the standard reader were chosen for the field work. Field work was carried out by these health workers and supervised by the team leaders of NTI. Children between 0-9 years were tested with 1 TU RT 23 with Tween 80 in tuberculin testing centres specially set up in each village and the reactions were read between 48 & 72 hours after the test. The tuberculin testing/reading coverage was very high. Of 6702 eligible children, 5904 (97%) were tuberculin test read.

Individual reading assessment carried out at Ananthapur and Dharmapuri for the State Field Workers (SFWs) showed that agreement with Standard Reader (SR) of NTI at three induration levels i.e., 10+ mm, 14+ mm and 18+ mm were very high. The demarcation line between infected and uninfected appeared to be about 18 mm. In Ananthapur, the agreement at 18+ mm was 99% and at Dharmapuri it was 100% for SFW, and 98.4% for SFW-2. The estimates of prevalence rate of infection were 9.3% - SFW V/s 9.7% - SR at Anantapur, 5.2% - SFW V/s 5.2% - SR and 7.2% - SFW.2 V/s 7.2% - SR at Dharmapuri. The study further showed that it was possible to train general health workers, within a period of 3 months to attain a high level of efficiency. The general health services can successfully organise on their own a programme of tuberculin testing in the community with proper liaison and supervision by some nodal agency. The training and field supervision responsibilities may be shouldered initially by NTI or another suitable organisation, till these nodal agencies come up.

It has been postulated that BCG scar disappears in a good number of children and some of the vaccinated children will get included in the non- vaccinated group and cause difficulty in interpreting the results of tuberculin test. It was decided to analyse information on BCG scar status in the younger population of a rural community in 3 taluks of Bangalore district with an objective to find out whether disappearance of BCG scar is dependent on the age of the child, size of post-vaccination induration at initial survey and tuberculin sensitivity status of children in whom BCG scar has disappeared, in comparison with children in whom the BCG scar has not disappeared. In all, 1095 children aged 0 to 14 years were found with BCG scar in 119 randomly selected villages during an epidemiological survey done in 1961 at the time of intake. Following two groups of children were studied for disappearance of the scar. Of them, a) 796 children who had BCG scar at the first survey, and whose BCG scar status was available at 4th survey, b) 299 who showed no BCG scar at first survey but were found with BCG scar at 2nd survey and whose BCG scar status was available at 4th survey.

Of the BCG scars recorded at intake, 26.4% and 32.5% disappeared subsequently during three and a half and five year periods respectively. The waning of BCG scars was independent of age of the child and tuberculin sensitivity status at intake. Tuberculin sensitivity status in children in whom scar had disappeared was the same as that found in children in whom scar had persisted at intake and after five years. The misclassification of children, in whom scars have disappeared, as unvaccinated leads to a difficulty in interpreting the results of tuberculin test done for the purpose of computation of the Annual Risk of Infection. Further, the extent of misclassification increases in proportion with the increase in BCG coverage of the population. This finding justifies the practice of identifying the demarcation level on the basis of the distribution of tuberculin induration sizes for classifying the infected persons in a population in each survey.

Screening of the population by Mass Miniature Radiography (MMR) followed by sputum examination by culture of the X-ray abnormals is the customary method for arriving at the prevalence rate of cases in the community. It is not possible to use this methodology by states to carry out prevalence surveys in these areas, even if they desire to evaluate the effect of anti tuberculosis measures implemented by them. Therefore, simpler means of screening population through chest symptom for sputum examination has been studied by National Tuberculosis Institute (NTI). The objectives of the present investigation were to find out the prevalence of bacillary cases by screening the population through identification of chest symptomatics by Social Investigators (Sls) or General Health Workers (GHWs) compared to that by MMR. In a peri urban area 10 kms away and around Bangalore city all the villages were listed and of the 60 villages were selected on the basis of a sample random sample. Of them, 30 were covered by Sls of NTI and the other 30 by GHWs of the state government. The methodology adopted was that (1) After census taking and registration of the entire population aged 15 years and above, Sls questioned the persons house to house for presence of cardinal chest symptoms of any duration. All chest symptomatics were subjected to MMR and sputum examination. (2) Similar methodology was adopted by GHWs in the other 30 villages allotted to them. (3) Without knowing the symptom status of all the registered persons, aged 15 years and more belonging to all the 60 villages, were subjected to MMR and from among those having X-ray abnormalities, to sputum examination.

It was found that GHWs had identified the same proportion of the persons either having general symptoms or having chest symptoms from the general population, as Sls. Prevalence rates of culture positive as well as smear positive cases were similar by any of the three methods i.e., 0.18%, 0.23% & 0.25% respectively. Prevalence rates of smear positive cases obtained through symptom questioning, either by Sls or GHWs, were more or less similar to the estimates obtained by the more comprehensive screening method of MMR and/or symptom questioning. The culture positive prevalence rate following MMR screening was 0.25%, which was lower than the rates observed in other surveys. The paper discusses the possible hypothesis that could explain the observation. It also presents correction factors to compute rates comparable to the best estimate i.e., that obtained through comprehensive screening by MMR and/or symptom questioning, followed by sputum culture.

Mass miniature radiography (MMR) is the usual tool for population screening in tuberculosis case prevalence surveys. However, this facility is not available at most centres in India. An attempt was made to study the feasibility of carrying out sputum positive case prevalence survey in a population by introducing methodological variation in the screening, in order to select those eligible for sputum test without resorting to the customary use of MMR for the purpose. The study was carried out in Bangalore rural district during 1984-1986. The area was the same as for six earlier prevalence surveys conducted since 1961. The population aged up to 44 years was tuberculin tested. Persons with test induration size of = 10 mm were eligible for sputum examination, besides all those aged over 45 years were eligible. It was observed that 78.4% of the registered population (29400) in the age group 10 years and above were required to undergo sputum examination by the present method of screening leading to a very high work load of sputum examination necessitating deployment of additional sputum cultures. Thus, the purpose of pre selection for sputum examination was hardly fulfilled. Further, a high contamination rate was observed. The changed screening procedure in this survey made comparison with the earlier data difficult.

The overall prevalence rate of cases was 438/100,000 in persons aged 10 years and above, while smear positive prevalence rate was 68/100,000. The observed prevalence rate was similar to earlier surveys, while smear positive prevalence rate was much lower. In conclusion, the screening methodology was found to be operationally unfeasible, ineffective and counterproductive to complicate the survey procedure in the quest for simplicity.