This paper reports on a study conducted in the year 1975 to estimate yield of tuberculosis cases from multiple sputum specimens, and work out correction factors to be applied to estimates based on small number of specimens. Eight sputum specimens were collected within a fortnight from each person with an abnormal chest X-ray during an epidemiological survey in 77 villages in a district of south India. Each specimen was examined by Ziehl-Neelsen technique of microscopy and culture. In all, 3,199 persons were referred for sputum examination and results of all the eight specimens were available for 1,652. Of the latter, 64 were culture positive.

The first specimen detected 58% of the culture positives and the additional positives by later specimens generally decreased. The contribution from the first specimen was 71% for cultures showing good growth and 19% for cultures with scanty growth. Similarly for positives on both culture and microscopy, first specimen detected 87% whereas the corresponding proportion was 32% for those positive only on culture. The type of specimen (viz., spot or overnight) and age or sex of the case did not influence the yield from multiple examinations. The precision of an estimate of prevalence will depend on the number of specimens on which it is based and the coverage obtained in the collection and examination of specimens. Correction factors to be applied to such estimates based on one or two specimens, for various levels of coverage have been presented. For example, an estimate of prevalence based on one sputum specimen with 90% coverage will have to be nearly doubled to get a more precise estimate. Using these correction factors, revised estimates of prevalence have been presented for a number of prevalence surveys conducted in India. It has been estimated that the total number of infectious cases in India at present may be at least 3 million, as against 2 million according to earlier estimates.

The problem in using simple tools e.g. chest symptoms for epidemiological surveys, designed to quantify the problem is that estimates from these simple surveys are considerable underestimates. Recent research has, however, paved the way for the use of these simpler tools for use in estimating tuberculosis case prevalence rates in the community. A tool which is simple, convenient to use and maintain, cheap but highly sensitive is called "screening tool". Such tools are used for making initial selection of the given population. Tuberculin test, X-ray & symptom elicitation are the main screening tools used for epidemiological surveys and TB Control Programme. In the programme, symptom elicitation and X-ray examination are the screening tools of choice for Case-finding. In the survey, tuberculin and X-ray are the only two tools used, although tuberculin is not a good screening tool (40% population infected). Use of symptom screening in surveys, however, is restricted in the absence of adequate information on comparison of prevalence rates obtained by this method of screening with the best estimate. The performance of symptom screening with either culture or smear microscopy have been attempted. They showed that by applying suitable correction factors they may be rendered comparable to the best estimate. The symptoms may be useful in the survey as a screening tool and may give the rates as proximate to the true rates as possible. They will enable considerable simplification of epidemiological studies in tuberculosis without compromising on the precision of the estimates arrived at.